-= Orb Deluxe =-

Welcome to the personal web pages of Chris Mitchell.

my resume.

Intellectual Property

Economics & Investing
The Observed Economy: occasional excerpts from my amateur economics and finance research. I view macroeconomics as a tapestry of innovation, production and labor mobility. Financial capital and cultural cohesion appear to be important secondary elements. Of note is the Boom Wave Theory, a model of business cycles with a tactical allocation investing system built on top of it. I also study taxation and education.

Software & Social Media
Games: several original playable games for various platforms.

Eye Scene. A popular discussion forum about eyeglasses I ran from 1997-2011. I wrote the custom forum software in Perl and PHP in 2001 (earlier versions ran on off-the-shelf software). Includes links to follow-on sites, including Moonshiner's version of the site running on the same Perl/PHP software.

Reddit AMA about my search engine projects and work history (ca. 1998 to 2008).

Music
Newly added as of July 2016: demo version of "Spirit of the West" by Oregon 80s/90s jam band Nine Days Wonder. I had the pleasure of roaming around with these fellows and their fans for some years. They recorded two songs I co-wrote with guitarist Ben Sturgill.

Mortal Man's Dead Hand Blue (m4a, lyrics 1985)
Spirit of the West (m4a, lyrics 1985)
Spirit of the West - demo version (mp3, lyrics 1985)

Nautilus (midi, 1998)
Spiral9 (mp3, 2009)

March Madness analysis: The Expectations Index System
Here's a bracket picking system I've been working on for a few years. It's based on historical expectations for each school versus their current seed and falls back on Sagarin scores when it can't decide.

In a nutshell, Expectations Index favors teams who enter the tournament with a seed that corresponds closely to their historical strength when ranked against the other teams in the tourney.

EI is based on school historic tourney wins and current coach's career tourney wins. So Duke is always at the top of the list (i.e. an expected #1 seed) and if they pull a #1 or #2 seed from the selection committee they get a "good" rating on expectations. If they drop lower than #2 in the tourney seeding they get a "bad" rating. Any "good" team is picked to beat any "bad" team, even if it's an extreme upset like an appropriately seeded #16 against a team that doesn't have the historical/coaching portfolio of a typical #1 seed. To fill the other games ("good EI" vs "good EI" or "bad EI" vs "bad EI") I just use the higher Sagarin score.

Expectations Index Final Fourcast for 2016 March Madness (3/15/16): Kansas over St. Joseph's; Michigan State over UNC; national champion: Kansas

Teatime

(Pink Floyd were served tea on stage at this point)

Internet Radio & Podcasting

An internet radio playlist in .pls format. Five stations, mostly news. All working as of March 2014.

I like a couple of shows from Monocle 24's radio service and the RSS feeds don't seem to appear on their web site (and in one case apparently not even in Google search). So, as a public service, here they are (working as of August 2013):

Monocle 24: The Briefing - RSS feed

http://feeds.feedburner.com/monocle24thebriefing

Monocle 24: The Urbanist - RSS feed

http://feeds.feedburner.com/monocle24theurbanist

Keys for Trade

* Space Pirates and Zombies
* Deadlight
* Magicka
* Sid Meier's Civilization III: Complete (2 copies)
* Sid Meier's Civilization IV: The Complete Edition
* Sid Meier's Ace Patrol (2 copies)
* Sid Meier's Ace Patrol: Pacific Skies
* Sid Meier's Railroads!
* The Bard's Tale
* Broken Sword: Director's Cut
* Organ Trail: Director's Cut
* Shufflepuck Cantina
* Lucid
* Clockwork Tales: Of Glass and Ink
* Dark Arcana: The Carnival
* 7 Grand Steps: What Ancients Begat
* The Dream Machine Episodes 1-5
* Runaway Express Mystery